Collective Strategy:
As mentioned in the past, given what I've seen with HRs allowed vs errors in overall RA/G, and how the HR impact was priced in, such that a pitcher similarly priced as another pitcher will essentially have the same RA/9 without regard to how they get to it. I generally don’t even look at the HR/9 for the pitchers I draft, most of the time, their HR/9 is relatively high.
I've also continued to play around with very heavily offensive oriented teams maximizing every roster spot with typically 2-4 platoons to use every $ productively. I no longer draft $200k scrubs or mop ups unless the theme requires it or provides an advantage in doing so.
With the way the sim calculates fatigue and pitch counts for pitchers, modern pitchers get a boon due to their higher K/9 (gives them extra pitches on their PC, which is used for fatigue, but they won’t reach those figures due to normalization, even more so if facing deadball hitters), this means you get more IP for your $ all else being equal. Secondarily, I almost always try to draft from 2017+ due to dynamic pricing. There are still some bargains in the dynamically adjusted period, but when I know every player will be a good buy, it’s just easier to not have to account for it.
I have become a huge fan of non-traditional pitching staffs that are built almost entirely of RPs or shorter IP SPs. There's so much value in these pitchers with 80-130 IP, especially with IP/G <2. On most teams these days I run pitching staffs of 11-13 80-130 IP guys at roughly a 20-30% discount to a similar staff built around higher IP/G or traditional roles due to dynamic pricing and most of these guys being generally ignored as it takes a little more careful effort to use them effectively (primarily applies to 1961-2016 pitchers).
I really like to use players I’ve never used before, and I like to maximize value as much as possible. I prefer pitchers post-1960 and hitters pre-1930 (but especially from the 1880s).
So, as you read through each of the team specific thought processes below, remember that all of them start with this basic set of goals.
$70m: 2017 - Great American Ball Park (0, 0, -2, 2/2):
No secret that I love the low caps. The lower the better. My favorite is $25-40m. As I’ve mentioned frequently, over the past few years, I prefer modern pitching. Especially in lower caps (though, I don’t really consider $70m a low cap, it’s at the low end of the mid-caps: I’d put low-caps at <$65m, mid-caps $65-120m, and high caps as >$120m). As soon as I saw 2017 was the only year eligible that wasn’t impacted by dynamic pricing I knew what year I was doing. That said, I borrowed the strategy I wanted to use for the $110m league here (more details about it in the $100m write-up below). I don’t know that it makes sense here given the era, but it was easy to do and it was fun. So that said, every player I drafted has a 1.000 FLD % at the position I intend to play them (except C, where I looked at CS% more, but Barnhardt has a .999% FLD along with his 43% CS). It’ll be interesting to see how many errors the team ends up making.
LINEUP:
C Tucker Barnhardt / Miguel Montero .270/.347/.403 & .286/.366/.439
1B Justin Bour / Pat Valaika .289/.366/.536 & .258/.284/.533
2B Jose Reyes .246/.315/.413
3B Brandon Phillips .285/.319/.416
SS Freddy Galvis .255/.309/.382
LF Lonnie Chisenhall / Eduardo Nunez .288/.360/.521 & .313/.341/.460
CF Brett Gardner .264/.350/.428
RF Marwin Gonzalez .303/.377/.530
I'm running a 3-man rotation with tandems:
#1 Erasmo Ramirez 62 IP 3.92/.243/1.16
#2a Gio Gonzalez 201 IP 2.96/.216/1.18
#2b Michael Fulmer 165 IP 3.83/.43/1.15
#3a Alex Wood 152 IP 2.72/.217/1.06
#3b Zack greinke 202 IP 3.20/.230/1.07
Key Bullpen Pieces:
Yu Darvish 137 IP 4.01/.225/1.17
Addison Reed 76 IP 2.84/.226/1.05
Ryan Buchter 65 IP 2.89/.187/1.08
Danny Barnes 66 IP 3.55/.200/1.09
Darren O’Day 60 IP 3.43/.193/1.08
Overall stat lines:
Hitting: 5,074 PA, .276 AVG, .337 OBP, .450 SLG
Pitching: 1,308 IP, 3.31 ERA, .222 OAV, 1.12 WHIP, 1.12 HR/9
$80m : 2021 Dodgers Dodger Stadium (+2, -4, -3, -1/-1)
I love the 1890/91 Boston Reds for twist teams and I immediately went to them to try to make something work… They were fantastic for $80m, a little rough for $120m, so I started looking elsewhere. I stuck with my goal of trying to stay post-2016 for dynamic pricing impacts, but still looked at a few deadball and liveball teams with Speaker, Ruth, Foxx, etc… but in the end, the 2021 Dodgers were still the best in my opinion by far… There were a few others I really liked: 2019 Astros, 1983 Phillies, and the 2017 Indians, but each of them had to make some compromises at either the $80m or the $120m version. The Dodgers really didn’t. In both cases I could basically just take the best players and be right at the cap.
LINEUP:
RF ‘20 Mookie Betts .292/.366/.562
1B '11 Albert Pujols .299/.366/.541
2B ‘21 Trea Turner .328/.375/.536
SS ‘17 Corey Seager .295/.375/.479
3B ‘18 Justin Turner .312/.406/.518
LF ‘23 Cody Bellinger .307/.356/.525
C ‘21 Will Smith .258/.365/.495
CF '17 Chris Taylor .288/.354/.496
‘18 Max Muncy will be providing PA coverage at 3B and OF and boasts a .263/.391/.582 slash
Again, I’m running a 3-man rotation with tandems:
#1a ‘23 Clayton Kershaw 132 IP 2.46/.209/1.06
#1b ‘19 Walker Buehler 182 IP 3.26/.223/.104
#2a ‘14 David Price 171 IP 3.11/.238/.1.05
#2b ‘23 Max Scherzer 153 IP 3.77/.221/1.12
#3a ‘20 Julio Urias 149 IP 3.27/.220/1.15
#3b ‘18 Trevor Bauer 175 IP 2.21/.208/1.09
Key Bullpen Pieces:
‘20 Dustin May 151 IP 2.57/.220/1.09
No other RP as more than 50 IP and only
‘22 Brusdar Graterol 50 IP 3.26/.215/0.99
‘23 Victor Gonzalez 34 IP 4.01/.223/1.10
Are expected to see any significant action.
Overall stat lines:
Hitting: 5,376 PA, .293 AVG, .368 OBP, .515 SLG
Pitching: 1,301 IP, 3.33 ERA, ..223 OAV, 1.11 WHIP, 1.27 HR/9
$100m: 2020-2022 Dodgers Dodger Stadium (+2, -4, -3, -1/-1)
I started here by looking at three year periods that had at least three hitters between 2B, 3B, SS at $5m+, as well as at least one other $5m+ hitter, that gave me a short list of the following teams (some seasons overlapping):
1891-1898 Boston
1892-1899 Phillies
1892-1900 Orioles
1911-1915 A’s
1918-1922 White Sox
1917-1919 Red Sox
1920-1922 Yankees
1923-28 Pirates
1928-1932 Yankees
1938-1942 Red Sox
1951-1958 Dodgers
1963-1966 Braves
1967-1972 Orioles
1970-1976 Reds
1979-1985 Royals
1988-1996 Giants
1990-1994 Pirates
1993-1996 Astros
1993-1999 Indians
1993-2005 Braves
1994-2003 Mariners
1998-2002 Yankees
1999-2004 Giants
1999-2003 AZ
1997-2008 Colorado
2002-2008 Cardinals
2007-2013 Phillies
2008-2013 Mariners
2014-2018 Cubs
2015-2022 AZ
2015-2019 Rockies
2015-2024 Dodgers
2017-2020 Red Sox
2018-2024 Braves
In addition, I also looked early on at the 1887-1889 Cardinals and 1904-1909 Cubs.
I built teams for every single one of these, as well as several others… The 1887-1889 Cardinals team was the first team I tried as I thought this league would benefit greatly from a Silver King team, and they came in right at $99.8m, but had $43m from 1888 (thanks King). Every other team I looked at I couldn’t get higher than $93m. Most of the teams I liked were between $88-93m. Then a comment in the forums made me feel like I was missing something as it seemed like others were getting to $100m easy. I started looking at teams dominated by dynamic pricing and that’s when I looked at the 1904-1909 Cubs team, which was solid, but well over $100m. I also glanced at some of those 1923-1928 Yankees options, but there’s just so much wasted salary there and I never seriously built anything with them. Thankfully, Schwarze posted a short list of rosters he’d considered and their salaries, and it was clear the difference was people were taking a good bit more IP and PA… in Schwarze’s teams he posted he averaged $10m in extra PA/IP (using $8,000/PA and $36,000/IP, and not including the 250 IP of cheap scrubs on the one, which would’ve shifted the average to $11.5m and the high to over $21m) over the ones I was drafting (with one having over $16m in excess PA/IP). For example, one of my favorites was a Braves team from 1996-1998, and by adding a full time Fred McGriff as a platoon mate to go with the full time Andres Galarraga brought me from ~$93m, to ~$99m, and now my team was at 6004 PA, which was similar to what schwarze posted (and still has fewer IP). This made me feel much more confident in the $88-93m teams I had built. If the only difference was that my teams had 5400 PA and 1350 IP instead of 6000 PA and/or 1500 IP, then I’d be just fine…
in the end, I narrowed it down to the 2020-2022 Dodgers, and the 2022-2024 Braves, both around $91-93m. In both cases there were PA I could add (I was drafting 13 pitchers in both cases, so adding IP wasn’t possible) that would bring the team salary to $97-99m, but rather than just adding PA to bump salary, I focused on the quality of the PA and in the end, despite really not wanting to have three teams in this tourney built around essentially the 2021 Dodgers, I have the Dodgers with 5,667 PA and a salary around $94m (and comes out to about $3m in excess PA).
LINEUP:
1B '22 Freddie Freeman .325/.407/.511
2B ‘21 Max Muncy .249/.368/.527
SS ‘20 Corey Seager .307/.358/.585
CF ‘21 AJ Pollock .297/.355/.536
LF ‘21 Mookie Betts .264/.367/.487
C ‘21 Will Smith .258/.365/.495
RF ‘22 Gavin Lux .276/.346/.399
PITCHER
3B ‘20 Justin Turner .307/.400/.460
Platooning with the following key players giving PA at OF, 2B, 3B, and C:
‘20 Austin Barnes .244/.353/.314 (will cover at both C and Will Smith will spend time covering at 3B)
‘20 Chris Taylor .270/.366/.476 (will cover in OF across all three positions)
‘22 Trayce Thompson .268/.364/.537 (will cover in OF across all three positions)
‘21 Trea Turner .338/.385/.565 (will cover at 2B, and maybe occasionally at SS if needed).
Running a 4-man tandem rotation:
#1 ‘22 Tyler Anderson 179 IP, 2.57/.221/1.00
#2 ‘21 Walker Buehler 208 IP, 2.47/.199/0.97
#3a ‘20 Clayton Kershaw 157 IP, 2.16/.194/0.84
#3b ‘20 Tony Gonsolin 126 IP, 2.31/.193/0.84
#4a ‘22 Julio Urias 175 IP, 2.16/.199/0.96
#4b ‘21 Trevor Bauer 108 IP, 2.59/.182/1.00
Key Bullpen Pieces:
‘21 Max Scherzer 119 IP, 2.51/.206/1.06
‘20 Adam Kolarek 98 IP, 1.94/.176/1.02
‘20 Jake McGee 76 IP 1.89/.216/0.93
‘20 Victor Gonzalez 95 IP, 2.46/.206/.1.01
‘22 Brusdar Graterol 82 IP, 1.66/.178/0.83
‘22 Evan Phillips 82 IP, 2.21/.157/0.98
‘22 Yency Almonte 100 IP, 2.17/.191/0.96
Overall stat lines:
Hitting: 5,667 PA, .285 AVG, .371 OBP, .497 SLG
Pitching: 1,329 IP, 2.20 ERA, .194 OAV, 0.90 WHIP, 0.83 HR/9
$110m: Flashing Leather in a Stone World South End Grounds III (+2, 0, 1,-1/1)
Given that all players are going to be deadball players, and all from the 19th century, everyone is going to have the same weakness, errors. My immediate thought was to draft 1.000 FLD% guys at secondary positions (like famous cookies, HoJo or Marwin Gonzalez), except, in this time period there aren’t any. So I did the next best thing. I drafted the highest FLD% at every position possible. In the end I made one small adjustment to that and moved higher FLD% OF, Duke Farrell to C where he also has a great CS%, and drafted the next best FLD% (non-clone, as two other players I already drafted had the next two best FLD%) in super stud hitter ‘99 Delahanty. This is also a theme that will benefit from running King, however, with my approach to offense, I needed to draft more pitchers than work easily for a King team, so I drafted what I felt were the best pitchers available, period, with less than 300 IP, then took the best pitcher I could afford to reach the 1420-50 IP target I was going for for the cap/era, which was Time Keefe and his 538 IP.
The offense isn’t quite as strong as if I’d gone with the types of hitters I’d normally draft, but hopefully we make up for that lost run production with run prevention.
LINEUP:
SS ‘95 Hughie Jennings .386/.444/.512 (.940 FLD%)
1B ‘87 Roger Connor .285/.392/.541 (.993 FLD%)
LF ‘99 Ed Delahanty .410/.464/.582 (.969 FLD%)
2B ‘96 Bid McPhee .305/.391/.386 (.978 FLD%)
C ‘91 Duke Farrell .302/.384/.474 (38% CS)
CF ‘92 Mike Griffin .277/.376/.383 (.986 FLD%)
RF ‘97 Steve Brodie .292/.348/.392 (.983 FLD%)
3B ‘99 Lave Cross .298/.330/.377 (.959 FLD%)
With key OF PA and PH from:
‘97 Harry Blake .256/.331/.325 (.989 FLD%)
‘90 Elmer Foster .248/.325/.467 (.986 FLD%)
‘93 Bob Caruthers .275/.456/.373 (.971 FLD%)
‘00 Topsy Hartsel .328/.403/.484 (.971 FLD%)
Unlisted filler Brown and Kerins also both have .989 FLD% to keep with the theme).
With another 3-man rotation with tandems::
#1 ‘98 Jack Taylor 45 IP 2.20/.213/.1.02
#2 ‘88 Tim Keefe 538 IP 1.74/.196/0.94
#3a ‘85 Lady Baldwin 269 IP 1.86/.203/0.92
#3b ‘86 Jim Handiboe 135 IP 3.32/.193/1.01
Key Bullpen Pieces:
‘86 Frank Gilmore 102 IP 2.52/.202/1.05
‘91 Ted Breitenstein 35 IP 2.20/.150/1.01
‘88 Frank Dwyer 51 IP 1.07/.198/0.98
‘90 Joe Neale 83 IP 3.39/.208/0.99
Overall stat lines:
Hitting: 5,773 PA, .316 AVG, .389 OBP, .451 SLG
Pitching: 1,427 IP, 2.14 ERA, .200 OAV, 0.97 WHIP, 0.15 HR/9
$120M: Heavy Offense, Heartfelt Arms Program County Stadium (+2, 0, 0, -1/-2)
This was the first team I built. This goes perfectly with my standard roster building strategies of deadball hitters, modern pitchers, offense-oriented, team building. I immediately looked at the least expensive hitter that qualified for the $15m+ options and instantly settled on ‘27 Ruth as the cheapest option and one I knew would perform. The next two least expensive choices, Brett and Hamilton each had their own issue (too few PA for Brett, too many for Hamilton… I didn’t want to have to make up PA on a $15m player, or spend $ on PA I wouldn’t use), so I ended up with the next two least expensive options: ‘22 Hornsby and ‘02 Bonds. I then filled in my lineup with as many players as I could that would compliment these three hitters. I looked for A+ range at key positions to capitalize on the deadball hitter/modern pitcher setup, but still wanted the best bats I could get. I then chose a +1B/-HR park despite taking three HR hitters as I wanted to maximize their AVG and OBP with the rest of the lineup… With the weighted + hit factor my hitters will gain roughly 5% on their AVG, and the weighted -HR factor reduces their HR/H by roughly 6.5%, but with the extra hits this would only be a loss of roughly 0-1 HR from their original expected HR in a neutral park (weighted with assumption majority of league is also in -1B and -HR parks, raw factors would see a nearly 10% jump in AVG and only 5% reduction in HR rate: the weighted factor would see a 200 hit/40 HR player end up with 210 hits and 39 HR.)
I expect this team to score a bunch of runs. My pitching is a more extreme staff, I only have one pitcher with 150+ IP, the 154 IP 2015 Tanaka, and my HR/9 is quite high… that said, they don’t allow many hits, so the + hit factor shouldn’t hurt them and the -HR factor only helps, so even with the expectation of a bunch of Ruth, we shouldn’t be hammered too hard with our OAV and + plays, we just need to score more than we allow, and I think this offense can do that.
LINEUP:
2B ‘22 Rogers Hornsby .401/.459/.722
CF ‘27 Babe Ruth .356/.487/.772
LF ‘02 Barry Bonds .370/.582/.799
1B ‘87 Bob Caruthers .357/.463/.547
3B ‘13 Frank Baker .337/.413/.493
RF ‘98 Billy Hamilton .369/.480/.453
C ‘89 Fred Carroll .330/.486/.484 & ‘72 Duke Sims .316/.432/.480
Pitcher
SS ‘25 Dave Bancroft .319/.400/.426
I have the following players covering PA and as my primary PH, which I will be aggressive with (along with Carroll/Sims):
‘19 Gavy Cravath .341/.438/.640 (he will cover PA for Bonds, Caruthers, and Hamilton)
‘45 Luke Appling .368/.478/.526 (he will cover PA for Bancroft)
‘18 Bob Bescher .333/.487/.400 (he will cover PA for Caruthers)
Despite the lack of any big IP pitchers, I didn’t use any tandems or a/b rotations here, just a straight 3-man with
‘20 Merrill Kelly 85 IP, 2.59/.218/0.99
‘15 Masahiro Tanaka 154 IP, 3.51/.220/0.99
‘20 Cristian Javier 147 IP, 3.48/.188/0.99
Key Bullpen Pieces:
‘20 John Means 118 IP, 4.53/.220/0.98
‘24 Bowden Francis 104 IP, 3.30/.196/0.93
‘24 Jack Flaherty 107 IP, 2.95/.211/0.96
‘14 Jeff Samardzija 112 IP, 3.14/.224/0.93
‘21 Jose Urquidy 107 IP 3.62/.218/0.99
‘71 Rollie Fingers 131 IP 2.99/.207/0.96
‘23 Tyler Wells 119 IP 3.64/.193/0.99
Overall stat lines:
Hitting: 5,551 PA, .354 AVG, .468 OBP, .587 SLG
Pitching: 1,363 IP, 3.55 ERA, .212 OAV, 0.99 WHIP, 1.60 HR/9
$140m: Clayton Kershaw Dodger Stadium (+2, -4, -3, -1/-1)
I only looked at one player for this… actually, that’s not true… I did look at a couple of fun utility player options (Lenny Harris – who it looked like you could do some fun things with, at a glance the downside appeared to be that most of the best teammates played in the same season; Edwin Jackson – whose teammates were great, the problem was having to clone him 8 times; Manny Mota – who was fantastic and had great teammates across the Pirates and Dodgers of the 60s-70s, issue was that he missed 15 WIS eligible season by literally 1 AB in 1975 (and by 8-17 AB four other times); Ossie Bluege, who had a great selection of teammates, the issue here was that most of them were hard to work with cap-wise due to dynamic pricing, someone that spent more time solving this puzzle could’ve put something great together; and Mark McLemore – who at a glance didn’t have teammates that could get me to $140m even if he had some fun names and seasons in there) for fun after I built this, but I never truly intended to use any of them. Kershaw gave me every post-dynamic pricing season, great teammates at key positions, and put up a ridiculous number of amazing seasons himself. I had to draft 8 Kershaws, so I drafted the 8 best without regard to IP. Because of this, I have a mostly standard 4-man rotation of Kershaw, Kershaw, Kershaw, and Kershaw, with 4 amazing Kershaw seasons between 126-175 IP serving as the core of my bullpen. I filled out my pitching staff after drafting my offense as I didn’t really need any more IP, so the plan was just to take the best IP left within my budget after drafting the offense.
This team doesn’t hit for quite the AVG you’d expect at this cap, but they play solid defense and they steal lots of bases at a great %. We’re going to be aggressive on the bases as at this cap, SB are generally an afterthought, as are C arms, but with this team and this ballpark, they should play well for us. .
On both pitching and offense I have excess IP and PA. I’ll roll those excesses into aggressive platoons with full time players and aggressive PH.
LINEUP:
1B ‘23 Freddie Freeman .331/.410/.567
DH ‘24 Shohei Ohtani .310/.390/.646
CF ‘11 Matt Kemp .324/.399/.586
LF ‘08 Manny Ramierez .332/.430/.601
2B ‘21 Trea Turner .328/.375/.536
3B ‘18 Manny Machado .297/.367/.538
SS ‘20 Corey Seager .307/.358/.585 & ‘13 Hanley Ramirez .345/.402/.638
RF ‘22 Mookie Betts .269/.340/.533
C ‘12 AJ Ellis .270/.373/.414 & ‘17 Austin Barnes .289/.408/.486
Key PH (in addition to the platoons players listed above):
‘09 Ronnie Belliard .351/.398/.636
‘14 Chone Figgins .217/.373/.267
‘10 Jay Gibbons .280/.313/.507
Rotation:
‘13 Clayton Kershaw 236 IP, 1.83/.195/0.92
‘11 Clayton Kershaw 233 IP, 2.28/.207/0.98
‘15 Clayton Kershaw 232 IP 2.13/.194/0.88
‘14 Clayton Kershaw 198 IP, 1.77/.196/0.86
Bullpen:
‘16 Clayton Kershaw 149 IP, 1.63/.184/0.72
‘22 Clayton Kershaw 126 IP, 2.28/.206/0.94
‘20 Clayton Kershaw 157 IP 2.16/.194/0.84
‘17 Clayton Kershaw 175 IP 2.35/.212/0.95
‘16 Rich Hill 34 IP 1.83/.182/0.79
‘15 Kenley Jansen 52 IP 2.41/.176/0.79
‘19 Yimi Garcia 62 IP 3.61/.178/0.87
Overall stat lines:
Hitting: 6,762 PA, .309 AVG, .384 OBP, .560 SLG
Pitching: 1,655 IP, 2.11 ERA, .197 OAV, 0.89 WHIP, 0.74 HR/9
Final Thoughts:
This go around I spent a crazy amount of time on the $100m, a decent amount of time on the $80m, and basically drafted the other four on the fly with a few check ins on the $110m and $140m. The $100m was a struggle to even come close to reaching the cap for me, and the $100m I’ve discussed relatively thoroughly above. Despite the challenge with it, I like that roster, and I like my teams overall. I expect the $70m team to be fairly competitive, the $100m and $140m, also. The $80m, $110m, and $120m are fun for me and they may or may not do well, mostly depending on how the rest of my league built their teams and distributive luck. Generally speaking, I expect to finish somewhere around 36-44 overall.
[Edit - hopefully this edit fixed the formatting. It was an absolute mess when opening up on here]