Here is my WISC 2025 round 1 post-mortem that no one asked for:
$70M – 1981 Young Turks
90-72 (.556)
Expected win % (.563)
A solid showing. Using the Astrodome was a good move as it allowed me to draft pitchers who were good but somewhat homer-prone. I led the league in triples and 9th in runs scored. George Brett went off with a .342/.376/.503 line and was 5th in MVP voting. Cecil Cooper was ranked 3rd in MVP voting with a lower .302/.344/.448 line. Brian Downing sucked big time with a .210/.286/.286 and was below the Mendoza line for most of the year. For comparison, there was another 1981 Downing in the league who hit .262/.323/.398. Pitching was helped by the Astrodome, and finished in 3rd in runs allowed. Happy how this team turned out.
$80M – 1915 Red Sox
86-76 (.531)
Expected win % (.549)
Another solid, though unspectacular showing here. I was in the same division as another 1915 Red Sox team from CarrDoor who finished 83-79 so we finished almost the same. Finished 12th in runs scored and 5th in runs allowed. I know our pitching was good, and was questionable on the offense before the season started so getting to league average was a plus. 1918 Babe Ruth always does well for me and he finished .307/.407/.672. Tris Speaker had 31+ plays in CF. The thing I didn’t like about this team is that I was constantly managing my pitching staff due to avoid fatigue issues.
I also seemed to do better than the average 1915 Red Sox team as we collectively averaged a .477 win %.
$100M – 68-70 Orioles
102-60 (.630)
Expected win % (.595)
Yeah I got lucky but it tailed off (reverted back to the mean) after I posted about this team earlier. Still, this was one of the best teams in the tournament. Ranked 10th in runs scored and 2nd in runs allowed. Defense was a strong point and I’m re-evaluating the importance of defense, particularly range in all my teams. I remember looking at a lot of teams before I found this one. And when this one came together I knew it was the one. I wish that “feeling” was the same for the next three teams I put together….
$110M – Garden City Athletic Club
74-88 (.457)
Expected win % (.514)
This team isn’t that bad as we underperformed our expected win percentage. I would have been fine if we finished .500, but they got some bad breaks. Stratton and Carruthers were fine and Carruthers was my best hitter. I don’t know if that’s a good or a bad thing. But the truth is that overall we were just ok. Good hitting pitchers was not the boon I was hoping for. I was looking at the top teams in the league to see what they had in common. It’s plus plays. I needed to focus more on rangy guys and I didn’t have that.
$120M – Studs and Schlubs
67-95 (.414)
Expected win % (.471)
Yes, we underperformed our expected win %, but it was still a sub-.500 team. I knew that by spending $5M less on offense compared to the league average I’d have the worst offense. But that should have bought me the best pitching and I didn’t have that. My runs allowed ranked 4th. Why? I ranked 19th in walks allowed. Also, I should have focused more on defensive position players as I was 24-84 in plus/minus plays. In short, the schlubs were really bad. They couldn’t hit or field and that doomed me from the start.
Hornsby/Ruth/Bonds did seem to be the winning combo with an average .660 win % across all worlds. I’m sure I dragged that number down.
$140M – OMG! I Know Greg Too!
67-945 (.414)
Expected win % (.389)
Ok, I deserved this. I ended up outperforming my expected win %. This team was terrible from beginning to end. I think there are two main reasons why they did poorly, and these were concerns I had when I entered this team but dismissed because the salary seemed to fit. First, the modern hitters and their homeruns will not normalize well vs all the deadball pitchers. That came true. No one hit over 30 home runs and only three players had 20 or more home runs. Secondly, the relief pitchers have low IP/G and will get hammered, which also came true. Millwood and Smoltz had ERA’s over 6. Even my Greg Madduxes were not in the top 25 pitchers for ERA which was the #1 reason why I chose these guys.
But here’s what gets me the most: barracuda3 has a nearly identical team as mine and outperforms me in every category. We have the same stadium (Wrigley). He’s 5th in runs scored, I’m 19th. He’s 12th in runs allowed, I’m 20th. He finished 89-73 with a (.610)! expected win %. I cannot comprehend this. Look, I get that he’s a smart and savvy owner, but was there a tipping option when buying a team that I overlooked so that the WIS gods would smite me?
Good luck to those who made round 2. This is a humbling end to my WISC run.