Posted by ricemt28 on 6/9/2025 3:19:00 PM (view original):
Posted by harriswb3 on 6/7/2025 11:10:00 AM (view original):
I'm going to give you some "alternate" advice on one item and reinforce some advice on others:
1. WE: In your situation, forget about it. Or at minimum, change your requirement to something like 25.
2. Potential: Same thing...don't worry about it too much. Take some L or even VL guys who have solid core attributes.
3. For each position: Focus on only 2 or 3 attributes. Example: OL: STR, BLK RB: STR, SPD, ELU
You can change this approach as you learn and get better, but at the moment (especially with WE at 50) you are by-passing a bunch of guys who are already really good and the players you do recruit won't get to that level in 3 or even 4 years.
In the end, the PLAYERS matter much more than the PLAYS. You cannot out gameplan an opponent who is vastly superior in talent.
NOTE: Use the GUESS formulas and reports as your best measure of successful recruiting and roster building. With that in mind there are certain break points in talent that you need to understand:
TEAM GUESS Rankings of:
1-5: These are the teams most likely to play for a NC.
6-10: Certainly good teams, and can win a NC if luck falls their way.
11-20: Second tier and have no chance at a NC. Probably will get smoked by the top 1-5 teams. On a given day can beat a 6-10 team.
21 and beyond: You suck and need to improve. Cannot beat 1-10 and will struggle against 11-15. Might compete against 16-20.
NOTE 2: Define your team identity....pass happy? 3 yards and a cloud of dust? Da bomb? Bubble screens? How about your defense? LBs are cheap and plentiful. Good DBs are very hard to find. DLs are simply expensive.
GUESS is fun to look at but I just won my 9th championship in Stagg in 10 seasons with an average GUESS rank of 10.7 over the 10 seasons. I'd also contend you are very wrong on giving the advice you gave on points 1 & 2 of this post.
You are right though that players are much more important than plays.
"I'd also contend you are very wrong on giving the advice you gave on points 1 & 2 of this post"
This comment is in response to: "1. WE: In your situation, forget about it. Or at minimum, change your requirement to something like 25. 2. Potential: Same thing...don't worry about it too much. Take some L or even VL guys who have solid core attributes."
You both are better owners than I am - of that I have no doubt. But as someone who is still new and learning the game...why can't you both be right?
ricemt, you know exactly how a player is going to progress based on his WE and his potential. You can see a player card after an AC scout and you KNOW where that player will end up. You know that a player with 60 WE and H potential can end up exactly 1 point better than the 33 WE player with L potential who looks like a stud right now. That is advanced stuff - like heavily advanced stuff. Being able to see a player that no one else would recruit and just KNOW he will be a top 10 player in his class? That's hard to do. You can do it, but most people can't.
What harriswb3 is saying is a much easier learning curve. If you grab the #1 OL at D2/D3 who has L potential and a 35 WE, and you play him every game of his career? There's a damn good chance he's still an overall top 10 OL when he's a senior. Rice, you could absolutely find someone who will be better when he plays every game of his career. I can't. Most can't. I think you are both 100% correct, but until you can fully understand the development curven that you (ricemt) have mastered, then sometimes going for the best possible players regardless of their WE/POT is an easy way to learn AND get better.
Will you be the best? No.
Will you find diamonds in the rough that no one else sees? No.
Will your team get better and compete after 4'ish years? Yes.
Please don't take this as any disrespect. I fully understand and appreciate that you are better than I am. I'm merely throwing out a third opinion as someone who is taking any and all advice to try and be better at this game. I truly feel like the ricemt method, once you fully understand the development curve based on pot/we is the way to field great teams. But as someone who is trying to do that, I am 6 months in and only just on the fringe of understanding how that works. The best available players regardless of we/pot is also an option and I don't think folks should dismiss it. Particularly when they're just starting.
6/13/2025 11:20 PM (edited)