Methodology:
For this, given the various aspects at play here, I started by taking all the players from the salary sheets provided by WIS and removed all players except those from 1975-2000. I put each the hitters and pitchers into their own sheet within a workbook. I then had a sheet for each teams hitting and pitching where I copy/pasted the rosters from the league. I had two additional sheets that, using a script, pulled the players for each team from the salary sheet data so that I had their # stats, secondary fielding, etc... I then went through all the players and replaced their fielding ratings with actual FLD/RF for each position. For each team I summed up their team stats for hitting, pitching and fielding. For fielding I summed up by position. For hitting I weighed only a teams top 5000 PA by OPS#, for pitching only a teams top 1250 IP by ERC#. For fielding, I weighed by 600 PA/POS, and for positions that did not have 600 PA, I used my best guess to gauge the mot likely OOP option and used their OOP FLD/RF stats for the team fielding there.
I also ID'd all AAA players and re-normalized them to 2024 to get # numbers for them to include them accurately in the above calculations. [Added: I did not add in any of the AAA players as without trades I could not see them. Also, with real names, the normalizing would not be needed. So the calculation is only on the drafted roster.]
From there, I created a RC estimate for the hitting, with a RC adjustment for the fielding using zubinsums values for errors and +/- plays. I used jfranco's formula for pitching RC, to create a similar value for pitching to put all three onto the same metric. From there, I just added a teams fielding and pitching RC together and ran the hitting and the pitching+fielding into a pythag to generate the predictions. Obviously, the goal here is to manage these teams into more than what we are presented with, so hopefully this serves as a baseline for gauging a managers success
Document for anyone who wants to check it out or error check me:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_x-BZ0uTtqv1I1TfsY4WoHTv8evOUeIbSPfhTMXfRso/edit?usp=sharing
8/27/2025 10:30 PM (edited)